How the Data Behind These Ranges Is Built
Before any number belongs on a page like this, the source of the number has to be disclosed. That is the honest starting point, and it matters — particularly because settlement content is regulated and readers tend to remember the high end of a range long after they have forgotten the qualifiers attached to it.
The ranges below are built from three converging sources. First, published verdict and settlement databases — Jury Verdict Research, VerdictSearch, and the reported jury-verdict reporters in states with robust publication practice (Illinois, New York, Florida, California, Pennsylvania). Second, the peer-reviewed surgical literature — the outcome series published in Annals of Surgery, the Journal of the American College of Surgeons, and HPB, which report long-term morbidity after bile duct reconstruction and the life-care implications that drive damages. Third, the working knowledge of national medical-malpractice practice — the settlement figures that do not appear in any public database because they were resolved under confidentiality agreements.
What none of these sources do, individually or collectively, is tell you what your case is worth. Published ranges are aggregates. Your case is specific. That distinction is not a hedge. It is the entire point. A 34-year-old surgeon with a Type E2 injury and a successful reconstruction resolves differently from a 72-year-old retiree with the same injury. A case filed in Florida after the Kalitan decision (2017) resolves differently from the same facts in Texas under the § 74.301 non-economic cap. Aggregates tell you what patterns exist. They do not tell you where your case sits inside those patterns.
The Model Rules of Professional Conduct speak to this directly. Rule 1.5 governs contingency fees, and Rule 7.1 prohibits misleading communications about legal services — including communications that imply guaranteed results. Every figure below is published with that rule in front of it.


